Nokia plans to cut 10,000 more jobs, bringing the total to one in three staff, as it loses market share to cellphone rivals Apple, Sony Ericson and Samsung and burns through cash, raising new fears over its future.
In
a second profit warning in ten weeks, Nokia said on Thursday that its
phone business would post a deeper-than-expected loss in the second
quarter due to tougher competition, which it expected to continue.
Once
the world's dominant cell phone provider, Nokia was wrongfooted by
the rise of smartphones and is struggling to keep up with Apple, Samsung
and Google. It is also losing market share in cheaper, more basic phones.
Chief
Executive Stephen Elop is placing hopes of a turnaround on a new range
of smartphones called Lumia, which use largely untried Microsoft Corp. But Lumia sales have so far been slow, exasperating investors
who have seen its stock crash more than 70 percent since it announced
the software switch in February 2011.
"The
job cuts and profit warning underline the seriousness of the challenges
Nokia is facing, particularly in light of the eye-watering competition
from Apple and Samsung," said Ben Wood, head of research at CCS Insight.
Nokia,
whose cash position is increasingly scrutinized by investors, also said
restructuring-related cash outflows would be around 750 million euros
in the remaining three quarters of 2012 and around 600 million in 2013.
With
the cost of Nokia's debt rising, the most bearish of analysts in a
Reuters poll last month said the company could even be at risk of
default if it fails to slow its cash burn.
Over
the past five quarters, the onetime darling of mobile telcoms has
eroded its cash pile by 2.1 billion euros - a rate that would wipe out
its entire 5.9 billion reserves in a couple of years.
Analysts
at JP Morgan said on Thursday they expect operating losses, combined
with restructuring outflows, to leave Nokia with 1.63 billion euros cash
at the end of next year.
"This is not a comfort zone for a company as large as Nokia," the analysts said.
Nokia's
five-year credit default swaps (CDS) were at a new all-time high of 933
basis points on Thursday according to Markit. This means it costs
$953,000 annually to buy $10 million of protection against a Nokia
default using a five-year CDS contract and implies a default probability
of 55 percent.
Bernstein analyst Pierre Ferragu said he expects the company to have minimal net cash position at the end of its restructuring.
"We therefore see continued potential downside to the recent stock price and maintain our underperform rating," Ferragu said.
Shares in Nokia were down 18 percent to 1.87 euros, below the psychologically important 2 euros mark, not seen since 1996.
Analysts
have said that even with the dramatic fall in the share price, the
worsening outlook made it hard to judge how much lower the shares could
go.
"I won't comment on
the stock price anymore, since it's been seen over and over, that there
is no definitive bottom," said Evli analyst Mikko Ervasti.
"People
are worried over Lumia sales. I think expectations for the third
quarter will be cut," said Nordea analyst Sami Sarkamies.
The
10,000 job cuts, which include the closure of Nokia's only plant in its
homeland Finland, bring total planned cuts at the group since Elop took
over as chief executive in 2010 to more than 40,000 staff, or every
third worker.
Of the
latest job cuts, 3,700 will take place in Finland, where the firm will
also close its plant in Salo - the last major cellphone manufacturing
site in western Europe, the cradle of the global industry.
"This
is a major blow. This is due to the operational mistakes made already
during the previous CEOs. Maybe the signs of success are running low for
Elop too," said Antti Rinne, chairman of labour union Pro.
Nokia
said it expects its operating margin in the second quarter to be below
the negative 3 percent level reported in the first quarter due to
pressure on its smartphone business. It previously forecast it would be
similar to or below that level.
On
average analysts forecast the second-quarter phone unit margin to be at
-4.6 percent, narrowing to -2.2 percent in the third quarter.
Nokia also said it would sell luxury phone business Vertu to venture firm EQT and revamp its management team.

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